Dated Phuket asking-price and inventory baselines, with the method behind each number.
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Thailand had 2,000,339 foreign arrivals in September 2026, 10.5% fewer than a year earlier, and Malaysia, India, South Korea and Indonesia together lost more arrivals than the whole fall. China and Russia grew, according to the Ministry of Tourism and Sports. Most of the top nationalities in the Real Estate Information Center's foreign condo transfer-value ranking held their arrivals for the year.
Nationwide home transfers grew in every price band up to ฿7.5m in the first half of 2026 and fell in both bands above it, the Real Estate Information Center reported on 30 September. Condo building permits also dropped by half in Q2, after a Q1 that doubled.
Phuket's accommodation occupancy rate beat the year before in July (74.15%) and August (70.01%), the first gains since February. Visitor numbers and visitor revenue were still lower than in 2025, in August and for January–August, according to the Ministry of Tourism and Sports.
In Bangkok and five nearby provinces, new condo sales rose 19.5% year on year in Q2 2026 while new house and townhouse sales fell 11.4%, the Real Estate Information Center (REIC) reported on 22 September. At the current pace, condo stock would sell down in about 39 months and low-rise stock in about 67. Developers cut low-rise launches 28.6%.
The Bank of Thailand's brief, published 18 August 2026, put loan growth at 2.0% year on year, up from 0.2% in the first quarter, driven primarily by large corporate borrowing. Consumer loans still contracted slightly, held down by auto loans; mortgage loans grew about 1.0%. Household debt eased to 85.9% of GDP in Q1; its slight growth came from savings cooperatives and state lenders.
AREA's 2026 field survey puts ฿176,538 million of new residential and resort units on Phuket's market this year — ahead of Chonburi and Rayong — with 85% of all island stock already sold and Thalang carrying more than half the resort-condo value.
REIC's Q2 2026 second-hand housing report shows Phuket resale listings up 21.1% year-on-year, while completed ownership transfers grew only 4.8-6.3% — the slowest of any top-10 province. Asking value rose 32.7%, mostly on unit growth: Phuket's per-unit asking price rose 9.4%, slower than the 17% national rate.
The Ministry of Tourism and Sports' preliminary August count, published 1 September 2026, shows foreign arrivals down 3.1% year to date. Phuket's own occupancy, visitor numbers and revenue fell over the same stretch through July, even as Chinese arrivals rebounded nationally and Russian arrivals held almost flat.
On 27 August the Real Estate Information Center reported 167,665 nationwide title transfers in the first half of 2026, up 17.6% year on year, with transfer value at ฿429.8bn. Russian condo transfer value rose sharply in Phuket and Chonburi while overall foreign condo transfers fell. Fee-cut relief runs to mid-2027.
NESDC's national accounts of 17 August put construction sector growth at 0.1% for April–June 2026, down from 6.2% in the first quarter. Private construction grew 1.1%, held back by slower residential and non-residential building, while private investment rose 13.4% on machinery. What the split says about the building pipeline, and what it does not establish about Phuket.
The national accounts NESDC released on 17 August put international arrivals at 6.557 million in the second quarter of 2026, down 4.4% year on year, while receipts from those visitors rose 10.2% to ฿347 billion. Average hotel occupancy was 68.97%. What the split means for a Phuket owner earning from nights sold.
K-Research raised its 2026 forecast for foreign arrivals to Thailand from 30 million to 31.36 million on 14 August, days after the Ministry of Tourism reported 636,769 arrivals in a single week. What the revision rests on, and what it changes for Phuket rental owners.
Origin Property says it will raise its Phuket portfolio to ฿30bn by 2028, announced August 10. REIC data for the same market shows foreign condo transfers down 17.3% year-on-year — with Russia the one large market moving the other way.
Luxury operators are crossing the Sarasin Bridge into Phang Nga and Khao Lak. The hotel data is real; the case for a Phuket-style buyer market is not yet in evidence.
REIC counted 242,729 second-hand homes advertised nationwide in Q1 2026. Phuket was the only top-10 province where listing value fell while unit count rose, and transfers above THB 10 million dropped.
A dated Houseviser baseline for Phuket house and villa asking inventory, separated from verified nominee-enforcement facts and untested liquidity hypotheses.
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Yes — a foreigner can own a condo in Thailand freehold, in their own name, as long as the building still has room in its 49% foreign-ownership quota and the purchase funds arrive from abroad in foreign currency (the FET form).
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